Friday, December 23, 2016

Weather Forecast: Transitioning from Hot to Cold Over 15 Day Outlook

A colder January is being anticipated.  The Climate Prediction Center is currently showing a gas-weighted December coming it at about the 20 year average, and the Deltix 15 day outlook, based on the GFS model, shows the nation cooling steadily.  Natural gas is responding with strong pricing through the balance of winter.

The CPC, gas-utility weighted, shows the warmth anticipated through the 28th:

Such a forecast would put us 55 HDD's short of the December average of 859, through the 28th, with three days remaining, so we should finish between 850-880 for the month:

The Deltix 15 day forecast shows a week of warmth, then a week of chill: